Porto vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
ORI
1 - 2
FCP
19%
23%
59%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
48%
21%
31%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
VST
0 - 1
FCP
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
FCP
5 - 1
SAL
89%
7%
4%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
TOR
0 - 1
FCP
18%
20%
63%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
FCB
4 - 1
CAL
70%
17%
13%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPB
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
ORI
2 - 1
FCB
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
FCB
1 - 2
SLB
18%
20%
63%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
VST
3 - 1
FCB
68%
18%
15%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |