Porto vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
4.54
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.1%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.5%
8-0
2.3%
9-1
0.9%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.3%
7-0
4%
8-1
1.7%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
6%
6-0
6.1%
7-1
3%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
9.8%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
4.6%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
14%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
6.1%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
17%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.1%
4.4%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
4.4%
2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 3
FCP
68%
15%
17%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
FCP
6 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
APO
0 - 2
FCP
8%
13%
79%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
FCP
5 - 1
LEX
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
VST
0 - 4
FCP
11%
16%
73%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 1
FCB
66%
17%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
CAR
2 - 3
FCB
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
FCB
3 - 1
VST
56%
20%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 2
BEL
29%
21%
50%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
4 - 1
LEX
68%
17%
15%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |