Porto vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
SCP
6 - 1
FCP
65%
17%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
ACA
1 - 4
FCP
19%
19%
62%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAR
89%
7%
4%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
FCP
5 - 2
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
APO
1 - 4
FCP
22%
19%
59%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 2
SLB
24%
20%
57%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
APO
4 - 1
FCB
56%
21%
24%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
FCB
2 - 2
SCP
27%
20%
52%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 2
FCB
46%
22%
31%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 3
ACA
68%
17%
15%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |