Porto vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1989 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
36%
30%
35%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
MAR
0 - 0
FCP
19%
29%
51%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1989 |
FCP
5 - 0
ACV
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
POR
1 - 1
FCP
18%
29%
53%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
FCP
0 - 0
VIT
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
FAR
0 - 2
SLB
18%
29%
53%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1989 |
BEL
2 - 0
FAR
71%
18%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1989 |
FAR
1 - 1
FAF
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1989 |
FAR
0 - 0
MAR
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1989 |
ACV
3 - 1
FAR
36%
31%
33%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |