Porto vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
FCP
5 - 1
ACA
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
UFT
0 - 5
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
FCP
2 - 3
SLB
39%
26%
35%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
VST
2 - 2
FCP
50%
25%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
FAR
0 - 0
VST
37%
29%
35%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 0
FAR
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
FAR
1 - 1
EST
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
FAR
3 - 4
ATL
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
BMA
2 - 0
FAR
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |