Porto vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
UFT
1 - 7
FCP
26%
29%
45%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 1
FAB
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
42%
28%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCP
40%
28%
33%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
FCP
4 - 0
FCB
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
FAR
0 - 3
VST
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1973 |
BEL
0 - 0
FAR
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 1
FCB
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
SCP
4 - 0
FAR
86%
9%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 0
COI
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |