Porto vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
FAR
0 - 0
FCP
22%
29%
50%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1991 |
FCP
1 - 0
VAL
95%
4%
1%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
CHA
0 - 1
FCP
26%
28%
46%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1991 |
FCP
0 - 0
SCP
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
FCP
2 - 0
PAÇ
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1991 |
FAM
1 - 0
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1991 |
PAÇ
0 - 1
FAM
63%
23%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1991 |
FAM
2 - 2
MAR
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
TOR
6 - 1
FAM
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 1991 |
FAM
2 - 1
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |