Porto vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.8%
Win probability
3.79
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.7%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.2%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
6.8%
3.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
EST
1 - 1
FCP
19%
27%
54%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
FCP
1 - 1
VIT
81%
13%
7%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
FCP
0 - 0
BOA
81%
12%
6%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
FCP
22%
26%
52%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1978 |
FAM
2 - 0
FCB
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
ACV
0 - 1
FAM
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
FAM
1 - 2
BMA
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
FAM
0 - 0
VST
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
EST
0 - 0
FAM
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |