Porto vs Famalicão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
4.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7%
5-0
6%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
7.2%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
VST
4 - 0
FCP
34%
21%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
FCP
6 - 0
SAN
95%
4%
1%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
SLE
3 - 1
FCP
31%
20%
50%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1947 |
FCP
10 - 2
OLH
70%
15%
15%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCP
39%
20%
41%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Famalicão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1947 |
SAN
3 - 4
FAM
39%
24%
38%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1947 |
FAM
2 - 3
OLH
37%
21%
42%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1947 |
VIT
3 - 1
FAM
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1947 |
FAM
2 - 6
EST
48%
21%
31%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1947 |
SLB
5 - 1
FAM
95%
4%
2%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |