Porto vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1974 |
FCP
0 - 3
SLB
39%
26%
36%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
FCP
3 - 1
FAB
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
LEX
2 - 0
FCP
25%
29%
47%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
FCP
4 - 2
BOA
68%
19%
12%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
VST
0 - 0
FCP
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1974 |
FCP
3 - 1
FAB
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1974 |
ORI
3 - 2
FAB
37%
30%
33%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 1
BEL
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
LEX
3 - 1
FAB
42%
30%
28%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
FAB
2 - 0
BMA
70%
16%
14%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |