Porto vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1974 |
LEX
2 - 0
FCP
25%
29%
47%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
FCP
4 - 2
BOA
68%
19%
12%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
VST
0 - 0
FCP
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
FCP
1 - 0
FCB
76%
15%
10%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
FCP
1 - 0
FCB
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1974 |
ORI
3 - 2
FAB
37%
30%
33%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 1
BEL
47%
27%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
LEX
3 - 1
FAB
42%
30%
28%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
FAB
2 - 0
BMA
70%
16%
14%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 0
BOA
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |