Porto vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 2
FCP
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
FCP
1 - 0
ORI
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
BEL
1 - 0
FCP
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
FCP
3 - 0
COI
80%
13%
7%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
BMA
1 - 1
FCP
27%
28%
46%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
FAB
2 - 1
CDM
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
FAB
4 - 1
BMA
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
FAR
2 - 2
FAB
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
FAB
2 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
FCB
3 - 2
FAB
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |