Porto vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
FCP
2 - 0
VST
42%
28%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
BEL
2 - 0
FCP
40%
28%
33%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
FCP
4 - 0
FCB
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
SCP
0 - 3
FCP
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
COI
0 - 2
FCP
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
FAB
2 - 0
LEX
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
VST
3 - 1
FAB
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
FAB
1 - 0
CDM
61%
21%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1972 |
BEL
1 - 0
FAB
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
ATL
2 - 2
FAB
40%
30%
31%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |