Porto vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
LGC
0 - 1
FCP
21%
23%
57%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
FCP
5 - 0
ATL
80%
12%
8%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
LEX
3 - 2
FCP
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 2
FCP
27%
24%
49%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
FCP
2 - 2
VIT
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
FAB
2 - 0
SPB
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
SCP
1 - 0
FAB
79%
13%
9%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
FAB
2 - 0
ACA
57%
21%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
LGC
2 - 1
FAB
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
FAB
1 - 2
ATL
70%
17%
13%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |