Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 8-2
Porto vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.7%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1961 |
FCP
1 - 2
SAL
79%
12%
9%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
VIT
4 - 2
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
FAB
2 - 5
FCP
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
FCP
3 - 2
SLB
56%
20%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
FCB
1 - 4
FCP
21%
24%
55%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1961 |
FAB
7 - 1
LGC
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
ATL
2 - 0
FAB
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1961 |
FAB
2 - 5
FCP
22%
22%
56%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
FAB
3 - 0
LEX
61%
20%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 0
FAB
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |