Porto vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
SCP
2 - 2
FCP
55%
21%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
FCP
2 - 0
LGC
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
VST
3 - 3
FCP
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
FCP
5 - 0
TOR
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
SPB
1 - 2
FCP
30%
23%
47%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
FAB
3 - 1
SPB
58%
21%
22%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
FCB
2 - 0
FAB
66%
19%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
FAB
2 - 4
BEL
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
FAB
1 - 4
SLB
22%
22%
56%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
SPC
2 - 2
FAB
64%
19%
17%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |