Porto vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.8
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
4%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.3%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 2
FCP
29%
24%
48%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SPC
0 - 1
FCP
31%
24%
46%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
49%
21%
30%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
SLB
3 - 2
FCP
69%
17%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
FCP
5 - 1
ACA
78%
13%
10%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
FAB
1 - 1
SPC
55%
21%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SCP
8 - 0
FAB
92%
5%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
FAB
2 - 3
SLB
11%
16%
74%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ACA
8 - 1
FAB
70%
16%
14%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
FAB
1 - 0
TOR
60%
20%
20%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |