Porto vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.85
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.1%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
3.5%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.3%
5.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
BOA
5 - 2
FCP
34%
24%
42%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
FCP
3 - 0
SLB
42%
22%
36%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
VIT
1 - 1
FCP
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
FCP
0 - 2
VST
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
ATL
2 - 0
FCP
39%
24%
37%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
FAB
0 - 3
SCP
23%
20%
57%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
SPB
2 - 2
FAB
73%
15%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
FAB
2 - 4
BEL
27%
24%
50%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1955 |
SPC
3 - 1
FAB
60%
19%
22%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1955 |
FAB
3 - 1
LGC
55%
19%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |