Porto vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.6%
Win probability
4.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.2%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.2%
+8
2.7%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
1.7%
9-2
0.4%
10-3
0.1%
+7
5.2%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
3%
8-2
0.8%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
8.8%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
4.7%
7-2
1.4%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
6.3%
6-2
2.2%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
7%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.5%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
5.6%
3.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
FCP
2 - 6
UNI
91%
6%
3%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
SLB
12 - 2
FCP
62%
18%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
FCP
3 - 2
OLH
92%
5%
3%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
LEX
0 - 4
FCP
13%
16%
71%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
46%
20%
34%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1943 |
FAB
6 - 0
LEX
77%
13%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
FAB
1 - 3
VIT
43%
21%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
FAB
2 - 3
SLB
12%
16%
72%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
OLH
5 - 1
FAB
57%
20%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
UNI
9 - 3
FAB
60%
18%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -2 |