Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Porto vs Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
9.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FCP
2 - 0
NAV
68%
21%
11%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2009 |
FCP
0 - 0
ATM
40%
28%
32%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
LEX
1 - 4
FCP
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
FCP
0 - 0
SCP
46%
27%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 2
FCP
53%
23%
23%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 2
EST
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
EST
2 - 2
SPB
31%
30%
39%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 1
EST
39%
31%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
NAC
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
VIT
0 - 1
EST
60%
24%
16%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |