Porto vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
BEL
0 - 2
FCP
22%
28%
50%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
FCP
2 - 0
FAR
69%
20%
12%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
VIT
0 - 1
FCP
30%
28%
42%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
LEC
0 - 4
FCP
6%
18%
76%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
FCP
2 - 0
CHA
73%
18%
10%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
EST
0 - 0
SLB
20%
25%
54%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
UDL
1 - 0
EST
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
EST
0 - 0
VST
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
UNM
0 - 1
EST
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
EST
1 - 1
BMA
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |