Porto vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
VST
1 - 4
FCP
35%
26%
38%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1978 |
ALM
1 - 3
FCP
9%
16%
75%
|
85 | 11 | 74 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
SPB
1 - 2
FCP
27%
27%
46%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
FCP
4 - 2
ACA
85%
11%
5%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
EST
0 - 0
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
VST
2 - 1
EST
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1978 |
EST
1 - 0
SPB
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1978 |
ACA
1 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
EST
0 - 3
SLB
20%
27%
54%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |