Porto vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
FCP
3 - 0
SCP
51%
23%
25%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
26%
28%
46%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
FCP
4 - 1
SCP
46%
24%
29%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
ATL
1 - 1
FCP
22%
27%
50%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1977 |
FCP
9 - 0
ALI
93%
5%
2%
|
83 | 32 | 51 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
EST
1 - 0
CDM
55%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1977 |
BMA
2 - 1
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
EST
2 - 0
LEX
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
POR
2 - 1
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
EST
0 - 0
VIT
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |