Porto vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
ATL
0 - 4
FCP
24%
27%
50%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
FCP
0 - 0
BMA
82%
13%
6%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
LEX
0 - 3
FCP
25%
26%
49%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
FCP
2 - 0
BOA
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
SCP
5 - 1
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
EST
1 - 1
VST
33%
30%
37%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 1
EST
67%
19%
13%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
EST
0 - 4
SLB
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
EST
0 - 1
ATL
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
BMA
2 - 1
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |