Porto vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
10.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
ATL
0 - 2
FCP
37%
24%
39%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
FCP
4 - 1
LGC
83%
10%
7%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
FCB
4 - 0
FCP
35%
25%
40%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
FCP
5 - 0
SPB
79%
13%
8%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
EST
2 - 1
SPB
62%
20%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1953 |
SLB
6 - 0
EST
87%
8%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
EST
0 - 3
BEL
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
SCP
3 - 1
EST
89%
7%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
EST
2 - 0
VST
53%
21%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |