Porto vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
13.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
81%
11%
8%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
FCP
1 - 1
BEL
66%
18%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCP
28%
24%
48%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
FCP
7 - 1
SAL
91%
6%
3%
|
84 | 49 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
SPB
2 - 0
FCP
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
EST
5 - 1
BOA
62%
19%
19%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
ACA
4 - 0
EST
53%
20%
27%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
EST
1 - 2
SCP
23%
20%
57%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1952 |
BEL
1 - 1
EST
66%
18%
17%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
EST
1 - 1
FCB
66%
17%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |