Porto vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.1%
18%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1948 |
SCP
5 - 2
FCP
79%
12%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
FCP
1 - 1
ATL
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
LUS
0 - 1
FCP
15%
17%
69%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
85%
9%
6%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
FCP
5 - 2
VST
85%
9%
6%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1948 |
EST
4 - 2
VST
85%
9%
7%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
ACA
1 - 5
EST
24%
19%
57%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1948 |
EST
0 - 2
SLB
31%
19%
49%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
BEL
2 - 3
EST
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
EST
6 - 1
SPB
79%
11%
10%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |