Porto vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.2%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.2%
10.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
BEL
0 - 2
FCP
73%
14%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
FCP
3 - 2
SLB
40%
20%
40%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1946 |
ATL
2 - 1
FCP
45%
21%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1946 |
FCP
3 - 0
BOA
87%
8%
5%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1946 |
FCP
7 - 1
VST
79%
12%
10%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1946 |
EST
6 - 3
SLB
16%
18%
65%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1946 |
EST
1 - 2
BOA
78%
13%
9%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1946 |
ATL
2 - 1
EST
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1945 |
BEL
2 - 1
EST
77%
13%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
EST
1 - 0
BEL
37%
22%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |