Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 3-5
Porto vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.4%
10%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
EST
3 - 2
FCP
39%
21%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1944 |
SCP
3 - 3
FCP
80%
11%
9%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
37%
20%
43%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
ATL
3 - 4
FCP
42%
20%
39%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
FCP
1 - 0
BEL
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1944 |
EST
3 - 2
FCP
39%
21%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1944 |
LIS
1 - 3
EST
32%
22%
46%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
EST
3 - 2
LIS
79%
12%
8%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
VIT
7 - 2
EST
61%
19%
20%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -2 |