Porto vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.5%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
RDA
0 - 2
FCP
8%
20%
73%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
FCP
1 - 0
SAL
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
FCP
0 - 1
SLB
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
GDA
1 - 5
FCP
9%
20%
72%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
FCP
4 - 0
AMO
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1983 |
SAL
1 - 0
ESP
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
ESP
1 - 1
BOA
42%
29%
29%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
ESP
2 - 1
EST
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
SAL
1 - 0
ESP
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
ESP
2 - 1
VST
45%
29%
26%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |