Porto vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
2.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
ESP
0 - 2
FCP
17%
29%
54%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
FCP
5 - 0
SPB
80%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
SCP
3 - 3
FCP
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
FCP
2 - 0
POR
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
FCP
2 - 1
GDA
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1983 |
ESP
0 - 2
FCP
17%
29%
54%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
MAR
0 - 0
ESP
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1983 |
ESP
0 - 0
VIT
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
SLB
4 - 0
ESP
88%
9%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
EST
1 - 2
ESP
50%
29%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |