Porto vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.36
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
FCP
3 - 0
ACV
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
POR
1 - 1
FCP
25%
30%
45%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
FCP
3 - 0
BEL
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
63%
22%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCP
47%
28%
26%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
EST
1 - 1
ESP
45%
30%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
ESP
4 - 2
AMO
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
VIT
2 - 0
ESP
64%
23%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
ESP
3 - 1
UDL
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1982 |
ESP
0 - 0
POR
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |