Porto vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.9%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.5%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.9%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.7%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.9%
2.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
VST
1 - 0
FCP
20%
28%
52%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
FCP
3 - 1
BEL
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
SCP
1 - 2
FCP
51%
26%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1980 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
ESP
2 - 0
FCP
11%
19%
70%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
ESP
1 - 1
ACA
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
AMO
0 - 0
ESP
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
ESP
1 - 0
POR
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
ESP
2 - 0
FCP
11%
19%
70%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +2 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
RIO
0 - 2
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |