Porto vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.4%
Win probability
4.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1.2%
8-0
2%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.7%
7-0
3.9%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.2%
6-0
6.4%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
9%
5-0
9.1%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.6%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.4%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
4.5%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
0
4.5%
1.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.4%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1978 |
BOA
0 - 2
FCP
30%
26%
43%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
FCP
5 - 1
VAR
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
FCP
4 - 1
SPB
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 1
FCP
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
FCP
6 - 0
BEL
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1978 |
ESP
0 - 2
EST
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
VST
1 - 1
ESP
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 0
SPB
33%
28%
40%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ACA
2 - 0
ESP
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
1 - 5
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |