Porto vs Espinho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1975 |
BOA
1 - 2
FCP
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
FCP
1 - 1
LEX
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 6
FCP
33%
28%
40%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
FCP
3 - 0
UFT
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
ATL
1 - 2
FCP
27%
29%
44%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 1
ACA
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1975 |
OLH
2 - 1
ESP
60%
22%
19%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 1
BEL
31%
30%
40%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
SCP
5 - 1
ESP
94%
5%
2%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
ESP
1 - 3
ORI
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |