Europa League 1/16
Global 3-2
Porto vs Dundee United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
FCP
8 - 2
LEX
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
BOA
1 - 0
FCP
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
DUN
1 - 2
FCP
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
FCP
2 - 3
SCP
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 3
FCP
30%
27%
43%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dundee United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
DUN
3 - 1
STJ
69%
18%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
DUN
1 - 2
FCP
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
DUN
1 - 2
DUN
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
HOM
1 - 0
DUN
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
DUN
3 - 2
AYR
63%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |