Europa League 1/32
Global 1-0
Porto vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.2%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.8%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.1%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
5.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.6%
2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
FCP
2 - 1
ESP
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
VST
1 - 0
FCP
20%
28%
52%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
FCP
3 - 1
BEL
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
SCP
1 - 2
FCP
51%
26%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1980 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1979 |
DUN
0 - 0
CEL
14%
19%
67%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1979 |
CEL
3 - 2
DUN
87%
8%
5%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
HIB
1 - 0
DUN
43%
22%
35%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
DUN
2 - 0
HIB
66%
17%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
LIN
0 - 2
DUN
60%
19%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |