Champions League Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Porto vs Dynamo Kyiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
50%
26%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
FCP
1 - 0
BEL
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1987 |
BIF
1 - 1
FCP
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
POR
1 - 0
FCP
19%
28%
53%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
SPC
0 - 2
FCP
2%
23%
75%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1987 |
DYN
2 - 0
BJK
75%
17%
9%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1987 |
BJK
0 - 5
DYN
47%
26%
28%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1987 |
STB
1 - 0
DYN
45%
28%
28%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
DYN
3 - 1
CEL
68%
18%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
CEL
1 - 1
DYN
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |