Porto vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.3%
Win probability
3.82
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.8%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.9%
6-0
5.6%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.4%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.2%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
5.5%
2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 2
FCP
13%
30%
57%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
FCP
2 - 0
SAL
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
SLB
0 - 0
FCP
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
SPC
2 - 0
FCP
13%
23%
64%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
FCP
5 - 0
VST
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
AVE
0 - 0
BOA
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
SCP
1 - 0
AVE
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
AVE
0 - 0
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
AVE
2 - 1
ACA
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
SPB
1 - 1
AVE
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |