Champions League Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Porto vs RC Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
BMA
0 - 0
FCP
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 0
FCP
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
FCP
1 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
LYO
2 - 2
FCP
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
GFC
2 - 0
FCP
18%
24%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
RC Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
DEP
1 - 1
VAD
71%
18%
11%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
VIL
0 - 2
DEP
27%
26%
47%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
DEP
4 - 0
ACM
54%
24%
21%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
DEP
2 - 2
BET
63%
21%
16%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
RSO
1 - 2
DEP
33%
26%
41%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |