Europa League 1/16
Global 5-3
Porto vs Club Brugge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
FAR
1 - 1
FCP
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
FCP
4 - 1
UFT
76%
16%
9%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
FAB
0 - 2
FCP
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
VST
3 - 0
FCP
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1972 |
FCB
0 - 1
FCP
71%
18%
11%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Club Brugge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
CER
0 - 5
BRU
17%
26%
58%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
BRU
3 - 2
KVM
81%
13%
6%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
SDL
1 - 1
BRU
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
BRU
1 - 2
ATV
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
BRU
1 - 0
LIE
75%
16%
10%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |