Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Porto vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 1
SAN
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
FCP
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FCP
2 - 0
PAÇ
74%
16%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 2
FCP
63%
20%
17%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 2
FCP
9%
18%
73%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 5
WBA
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
SHE
81%
13%
5%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
ATM
40%
26%
34%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LEE
0 - 0
CHL
12%
19%
69%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 0
EVE
54%
23%
23%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |