Porto vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FCP
3 - 0
MOR
83%
13%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FCP
2 - 3
VIT
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 3
FCP
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FCP
5 - 0
CHA
81%
13%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
FCP
3 - 1
AVE
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
SPB
20%
25%
55%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
FCP
5 - 0
CHA
81%
13%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 0
SPO
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |