Porto vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1998 |
VST
1 - 2
FCP
16%
21%
63%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1998 |
OLP
2 - 1
FCP
36%
25%
39%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1998 |
FCP
3 - 1
SLB
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1998 |
CAM
0 - 2
FCP
13%
18%
69%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1998 |
SPB
3 - 3
FCP
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
CHA
1 - 2
SPB
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1998 |
SAL
2 - 0
CHA
69%
19%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1998 |
CHA
1 - 2
UDL
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1998 |
BOA
4 - 1
CHA
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1998 |
CHA
1 - 1
ALV
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |