Porto vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1995 |
GFC
0 - 1
FCP
20%
28%
52%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1995 |
FCP
0 - 1
SAM
50%
26%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
FCP
4 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1995 |
SAM
0 - 1
FCP
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
CHA
0 - 1
SLB
19%
25%
56%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
UDL
1 - 0
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
CHA
0 - 0
VST
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1995 |
UNM
0 - 1
CHA
50%
25%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
CHA
3 - 2
BMA
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |