Porto vs Chaves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1992 |
FCP
2 - 2
PSV
48%
26%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1992 |
GFC
0 - 3
FCP
17%
28%
56%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
BOA
1 - 0
FCP
27%
29%
44%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
49%
26%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1992 |
FCP
4 - 0
SIO
68%
21%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chaves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
CHA
0 - 1
BOA
30%
30%
41%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
SLB
3 - 1
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
CHA
0 - 2
SCP
22%
29%
50%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
FAR
3 - 0
CHA
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1992 |
CHA
1 - 1
ESP
60%
24%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |