Porto vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
FCP
3 - 0
SAL
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
FCP
0 - 0
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
BMA
2 - 0
FCP
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2001 |
CEL
1 - 0
FCP
35%
25%
39%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
MHE
1 - 2
CEL
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
CEL
1 - 0
RBK
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
GLA
0 - 2
CEL
48%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2001 |
CEL
1 - 0
FCP
35%
25%
39%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
CEL
2 - 0
ABE
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |