Porto vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.1%
Win probability
4.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
1%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.3%
8-0
2.1%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.8%
7-0
3.8%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.4%
6-0
6.3%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
9.2%
5-0
8.7%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
13.6%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
4.5%
1.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
FCP
6 - 1
FCB
87%
8%
5%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 3
FCP
54%
20%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
59%
18%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
47%
21%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
FCP
7 - 2
APO
90%
7%
4%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 4
SCP
8%
13%
79%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
FCB
3 - 1
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1939 |
BEL
7 - 1
CAS
86%
9%
5%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
CAS
1 - 3
APO
49%
22%
28%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |