Porto vs Carcavelinhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.6%
Win probability
4.73
Expected goals
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.4%
10-1
0.5%
+9
1.9%
8-0
2.6%
9-1
1%
10-2
0.2%
+8
3.8%
7-0
4.5%
8-1
1.9%
9-2
0.4%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.8%
6-0
6.6%
7-1
3.3%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.7%
5-0
8.4%
6-1
4.8%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.6%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
6.1%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.2%
3.8%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
3.8%
1.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
LEC
2 - 5
FCP
6%
11%
84%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
FCP
6 - 2
FCB
93%
5%
2%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
VIT
1 - 4
FCP
29%
21%
50%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
FCP
3 - 0
SCP
53%
19%
28%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
FCP
2 - 3
BEL
72%
15%
14%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
CAR
2 - 3
OLH
57%
20%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1942 |
ACA
9 - 1
CAR
84%
10%
7%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1942 |
CAR
0 - 4
UNI
48%
22%
31%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 0
CAR
91%
6%
3%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
CAR
6 - 0
APO
65%
17%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |