Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 7-5
Porto vs Carcavelinhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
FCP
11 - 1
VIT
76%
14%
11%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
VIT
3 - 2
FCP
44%
22%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
FCP
3 - 3
SLB
61%
18%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
APO
1 - 12
FCP
17%
19%
64%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
CAS
1 - 2
FCP
9%
14%
77%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1939 |
FCB
2 - 2
CAR
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
CAR
2 - 1
FCB
53%
21%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 2
CAR
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
SCP
13 - 0
CAR
86%
9%
6%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 0
APO
61%
20%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |